Wind Diao ChanTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven UK Regional!
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1054
· median 1054
· range 1054–1054
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1147
Q3 1283
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Diao Chan decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
