HVN Store Championship @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	25.0%	6-4-1	59.1%	49.6%	53.9%	51.6%	1371	↑ top
2		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	12.5%	5-3-0	62.5%	48.5%	48.0%	44.3%	1436	↑ top
3		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	12.5%	5-3-0	62.5%	52.7%	49.4%	50.4%	1311	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-0	33.3%	44.7%	48.0%	49.9%	1221	—
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-1-3	37.5%	46.1%	47.5%	48.4%	1341	—
6		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 1	1	6.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.6%	50.0%	51.5%	994	↓ low
7		Fire Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-4-0	0.0%	42.4%	38.1%	47.5%	921	↓ low
8		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	6.2%	2-1-1	62.5%	63.5%	52.5%	56.9%	1188	↓ low
9		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	6.2%	2-0-2	75.0%	53.2%	61.1%	55.2%	1244	—
10		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	6.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	55.1%	45.0%	49.5%	1383	↑ top
11		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.7%	43.8%	48.4%	1162	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 12.5%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Tera Kongming 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 6.2%