← HVN Store Championship @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at HVN Store Championship @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-1-3
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.1%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1341
· median 1341
· range 1341–1341
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
921
Q1 1179
Q3 1393
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
