← HVN Store Championship @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
Wind AlliesTier 1
at HVN Store Championship @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.5%
avg ELO +8.7 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1188
· median 1188
· range 1188–1188
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
921
Q1 1179
Q3 1393
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
