The Light HVN Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 1	3	37.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	54.7%	55.0%	53.6%	1450	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	25.0%	0-2-0	0.0%	35.2%	40.0%	40.8%	1379	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	25.0%	2-2-0	50.0%	54.3%	51.7%	53.4%	1461	↑ top
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-0-0	100.0%	54.3%	60.0%	54.3%	1736	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Luxem Zander 3 decks · 37.5%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 25.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 12.5%