← Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
28.9%
avg ELO -11.2 per match
expected value
33.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1213
· median 1213
· range 1182–1245
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1182
Q1 1284
Q3 1408
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 28.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.7% | -9.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 21.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
