← Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.9%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
36.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1320
· median 1320
· range 1320–1320
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1182
Q1 1284
Q3 1408
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 28.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.5% | -13.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 21.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
