Fire AggroTier 1
at GGM Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.1%
avg ELO +4.6 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252
· median 1252
· range 1252–1252
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
985
Q1 1170
Q3 1318
1446
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Water Overlord | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
