← Plenty of Games Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 2
at Plenty of Games Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314
· median 1314
· range 1314–1314
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1081
Q1 1223
Q3 1389
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Wind Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tristan | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
