← Fortress HVN Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Fortress HVN Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 75.0% | 62.8% | 55.0% | 57.7% | 1254 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.5% | 53.3% | 50.7% | 1630 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Exia | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 50.0% | 43.9% | 50.0% | 46.3% | 1467 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 50.0% | 57.7% | 50.0% | 53.6% | 1331 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 0.0% | 36.5% | 40.0% | 36.5% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.7% | 40.0% | 42.7% | 1449 | ↑ top |