← Abyssal Heaven Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Abyssal Heaven Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 11.8% | 11 | 86.4% | 77.0% | 57.6% | 58.1% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 83.3% | 67.6% | 55.6% | 55.3% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 58.1% | 52.5% | 54.2% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Neos Tonoris | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 51.9% | 52.3% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.4% | 50.0% | 52.8% | 1214 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.2% | 50.0% | 51.8% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 50.0% | 47.0% | 49.1% | 49.0% | 1338 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 17.6% | 16 | 43.8% | 39.6% | 48.9% | 47.4% | 1290 | — |
| 9 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.0% | 46.7% | 48.3% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 11.8% | 6 | 33.3% | 31.6% | 46.0% | 43.0% | 1321 | — |
| 11 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.4% | 45.0% | 46.9% | 1262 | — |
| 12 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.4% | 45.0% | 46.9% | 1262 | — |
| 13 | Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 0.0% | 33.6% | 40.0% | 44.1% | 1114 | ↓ low |