← GRAND ARCHIVE INDONESIA REGIONAL ABYSSAL HEAVEN SEASON by IKI CARDSHOP

Fire ExiaTier 1

at GRAND ARCHIVE INDONESIA REGIONAL ABYSSAL HEAVEN SEASON by IKI CARDSHOP

decks
3 (5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14 9-5-0
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.9% avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
52.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1221 · median 1187 · range 1097–1377 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032 Q1 1145 Q3 1357 1508
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 13.3% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 69.0% +14.2
Fire Suzaku 11.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.2% -14.3
Fire Firebloom Burn 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.0% +20.9
Water Fractal 8.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.9% +0.9
Water Genbu 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.3% -7.5
Wind Astra Cleric 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.9
Wind Lorraine 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.9
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.3% 0
Water Neos 3.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 1.7% 0
Fire Slimes 1.7% 0
Fire Tera Kongming 1.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.1
Fire Tonoris 1.7% 0
Rogue 1.7% 0
Slimes 1.7% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.7% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 1.7% 0
Water Diao Chan 1.7% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.7% 0
Water Umbra Diana 1.7% 0
Wind Beast 1.7% 0
Wind Overlord 1.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.9
Wind Razorgale 1.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 1.7% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 1.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.4
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Fire Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +1.00 1 0 0
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Reduce to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Fire -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Blazing Lunge -1.00 0 1 0
Proof of Life -1.00 0 1 0
Under Fire -1.00 0 1 0
Savage Swing +1.00 1 0 0
Coronation Ceremony +1.00 1 0 0
Ignite Fate -1.00 0 1 0
Honorable Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +1.00 1 0 0
Flame-Rune Swordsman +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Fast Cure +1.00 1 0 0
Cremation Ritual -1.00 0 1 0
Blinding Orb -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Clumsy Apprentice -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Serene Fire +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Hemorrhaging Rend +1.00 1 0 0
Relentless Outburst -1.00 0 1 0
Savage Sunder +1.00 1 0 0
Annihilation -1.00 0 1 0
Disenchant -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu +1.00 1 0 0
Enrage +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/23224/archetypes/Fire Exia