← GRAND ARCHIVE INDONESIA REGIONAL ABYSSAL HEAVEN SEASON by IKI CARDSHOP

Fire SuzakuTier 2

at GRAND ARCHIVE INDONESIA REGIONAL ABYSSAL HEAVEN SEASON by IKI CARDSHOP

decks
7 (11.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
37 18-19-0
overall winrate
48.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7% avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
48.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1256 · median 1302 · range 1111–1330 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032 Q1 1145 Q3 1357 1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 13.3% 8 2-6-0 25.0% 33.3% 38.6% -5.4
Fire Firebloom Burn 8.3% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 64.5% +9.3
Water Fractal 8.3% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 60.7% +8.0
Water Genbu 8.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 34.9% -14.5
Fire Exia 5.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.8% +14.3
Wind Astra Cleric 5.0% 0
Wind Lorraine 5.0% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 36.3% -8.8
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.4% +21.4
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.3% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 70.0% +14.9
Water Neos 3.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 34.5% -14.8
Fire Crux Mage 1.7% 0
Fire Slimes 1.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.6
Fire Tera Kongming 1.7% 0
Fire Tonoris 1.7% 0
Rogue 1.7% 0
Slimes 1.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.0% -11.1
Water Astra Cleric 1.7% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 1.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.1
Water Diao Chan 1.7% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.7% 0
Water Umbra Diana 1.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.2% +18.0
Wind Beast 1.7% 0
Wind Overlord 1.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.3% -17.2
Wind Razorgale 1.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.7% +12.1
Wind Seiryuu 1.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.9% +7.9
Wind Umbra Tristan 1.7% 0
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 55 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 55 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Coiled Fatestone -1.00 0 2 0
Creative Shock +1.00 2 0 0
Cremation Ritual +1.00 2 0 0
Spark Alight -1.00 0 2 0
Blazing Throw -1.00 0 2 0
Immolation Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Clumsy Apprentice +1.00 2 0 0
Fanatical Devotee -1.00 0 2 0
Dire Requiem -1.00 0 2 0
Guo Jia, Chosen Disciple +0.50 1 0 1
Resolute Stand +0.50 1 0 0
Flashfire Horse +0.50 1 0 0
Scorching Trap -0.50 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.50 0 1 1
Jianye, Dawn's Keep -0.50 0 1 0
Fatestone of Unrelenting +0.50 1 0 1
Diao Chan, Enchantress -0.50 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.50 0 1 1
Relic of Dancing Embers -0.50 0 1 0
Ignite Fate +0.50 1 0 0
Guo Jia, Heaven's Favored +0.50 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs -0.50 0 1 1
Blazing Bowman +0.50 1 0 0
Flamelash Beastmaster +0.50 1 0 0
Stalwart Shieldmate +0.50 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -0.50 0 1 1
Hasty Messenger +0.50 1 0 1
Diao Chan, Dreaming Wish -0.50 0 1 0
Fated Keepsake +0.50 1 0 0
Lavaplume Fatestone +0.50 1 0 1
Shatter the Brittle -0.50 0 1 0
Red Slime +0.50 1 0 0
Guo Jia, Blessed Scion +0.50 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -0.50 0 1 1
Invective Instruction +0.50 1 0 0
Crimson Protective Trinket -0.50 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -0.50 0 1 0
Planted Explosive +0.50 1 0 0
Expel the Departed +0.50 1 0 0
Surging Bolt +0.50 1 0 0
Arthur, Young Heir -0.50 0 1 0
Sword of Seeking -0.50 0 1 0
Cinder Geyser +0.50 1 0 0
Beastbond Boots +0.50 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -0.50 0 1 0
Demolition +0.50 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace -0.50 0 1 0
Baby Red Slime +0.50 1 0 0
Evasive Maneuvers +0.00 1 1 0
Heated Vengeance +0.00 1 1 0
Flamewing Fowl +0.00 1 1 0
Smoke Out +0.00 1 1 0
Fast Cure +0.00 1 1 0
Broken Promises +0.00 1 1 0
Suzaku's Command +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/23224/archetypes/Fire Suzaku