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EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at /Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly/ . EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd
Wind Seiryuu
57.9%
3.9% share · 8 matches
↓ low
1st
Fire Neos
60.0%
2.0% share · 4 matches
↑ top
3rd
Water Allies
56.4%
2.0% share · 5 matches
↑ top
#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Neos 1 2.0% 4 100.0% 50.5% 60.0% 50.4% 1426 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 2 3.9% 8 87.5% 53.0% 57.9% 51.0% 1238 ↓ low
3 Water Allies 1 2.0% 5 60.0% 48.8% 56.4% 49.6% 1420 ↑ top
4 Fire Firebloom Burn 3 5.9% 11 72.7% 49.7% 54.2% 49.8% 1440 ↑ top
5 Fire Luxem Assassin 5 9.8% 19 68.4% 51.1% 53.7% 50.2% 1337 —
6 Water Fractal 6 11.8% 20 62.5% 51.3% 53.1% 50.4% 1365 ↑ top
7 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 2.0% 4 62.5% 50.2% 53.1% 50.2% 1439 ↑ top
8 Water Genbu 2 3.9% 5 60.0% 50.3% 52.7% 50.1% 1479 ↑ top
9 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 2.0% 3 33.3% 49.2% 51.4% 49.7% 1582 ↑ top
10 Wind Shadowstrike 4 7.8% 14 50.0% 50.5% 50.0% 50.1% 1320 —
11 Zander 1 2.0% 4 37.5% 49.2% 50.0% 50.0% 1159 ↓ low
12 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 2.0% 5 80.0% 51.1% 49.1% 50.0% 1328 —
13 Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1 2.0% 3 66.7% 49.1% 48.9% 49.3% 1511 ↑ top
14 Slimes 1 2.0% 3 33.3% 49.7% 48.0% 50.0% 1235 ↓ low
15 Wind Razorgale 1 2.0% 4 25.0% 49.1% 46.0% 49.5% 1265 —
16 Fire Suzaku 3 5.9% 10 45.0% 49.5% 45.4% 49.7% 1308 —
17 Water Dawn of Ashes 1 2.0% 4 37.5% 51.1% 44.5% 50.3% 1039 ↓ low
18 Fire Aggro 3 5.9% 10 50.0% 51.4% 44.4% 50.0% 1247 —
19 Water Neos 1 2.0% 5 60.0% 50.3% 44.3% 49.6% 1259 —
20 Fire Seiryuu 1 2.0% 3 33.3% 49.6% 44.0% 49.6% 1182 ↓ low
21 Wind Astra Cleric 2 3.9% 6 33.3% 48.7% 43.1% 49.2% 1344 —
22 Water Tera Cleric 1 2.0% 3 33.3% 50.1% 42.9% 49.5% 1144 ↓ low
23 Fire Astra Cleric 1 2.0% 3 33.3% 50.3% 42.5% 49.6% 1083 ↓ low
24 Fire Tera Cleric 1 2.0% 2 25.0% 49.1% 42.5% 49.1% 1219 ↓ low
25 Water Ravishing Mill 1 2.0% 3 33.3% 49.5% 41.8% 49.4% 1204 ↓ low
26 Fire Crux Mage 1 2.0% 4 12.5% 48.2% 41.0% 49.2% 1169 ↓ low
27 Water Penguin Mill 1 2.0% 3 0.0% 49.3% 40.0% 49.5% 1190 ↓ low
28 Water Tera Kongming 1 2.0% 2 0.0% 48.7% 40.0% 49.2% 1282 —
29 Wind Arcane 1 2.0% 3 0.0% 48.3% 40.0% 49.3% 1040 ↓ low
30 Wind Byakko 1 2.0% 2 0.0% 48.8% 40.0% 49.3% 1215 ↓ low
31 Wind Cats 1 2.0% 2 0.0% 48.8% 40.0% 49.3% 1215 ↓ low
32 Water Tera Mage 1 2.0% 3 0.0% 48.8% 40.0% 49.6% 1197 ↓ low
33 Water Tera Tamer 1 2.0% 4 12.5% 48.0% 36.2% 48.6% 1170 ↓ low