DeckaDice HVN Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	5	27.8%	7-7-2	50.0%	49.2%	48.3%	48.3%	1238	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	11.1%	6-4-0	60.0%	63.9%	51.8%	54.8%	1252	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	11.1%	5-4-1	55.0%	48.2%	51.7%	49.8%	1311	↑ top
4		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	11.1%	6-3-1	65.0%	53.8%	53.6%	50.0%	1380	↑ top
5		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	11.1%	5-4-1	55.0%	56.3%	56.0%	56.4%	1267	—
6		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	5.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	40.7%	38.3%	42.4%	1070	↓ low
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	5.6%	0-4-0	0.0%	26.5%	40.0%	40.7%	1046	↓ low
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	5.6%	4-0-1	90.0%	69.1%	56.3%	55.5%	1362	↑ top
9		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	39.2%	47.5%	45.6%	1346	↑ top
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	5.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.4%	41.7%	43.9%	1102	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 5 decks · 27.8%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 11.1%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 11.1%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 5.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 5.6%