← DeckaDice HVN Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 1
at DeckaDice HVN Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.9%
avg ELO +6.2 per match
expected value
51.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252
· median 1252
· range 1210–1295
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1138
Q3 1358
1502
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 27.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.6 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
