← DeckaDice HVN Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at DeckaDice HVN Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1211–1410
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1138
Q3 1358
1502
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 27.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.6 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.9% | -14.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
