Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Yeti Webcam 4/27
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1182
· median 1182
· range 1182–1182
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1159
Q3 1359
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
