ZanderTier 2
at Yeti Webcam 4/27
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1159
· median 1159
· range 1159–1159
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1159
Q3 1359
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Zander decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
