Water Tera Diao ChanTier 1
at Yeti Webcam 4/27
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1265
· median 1265
· range 1265–1265
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1159
Q3 1359
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Diao Chan decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
