← DX Store Champion Main Event
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at DX Store Champion Main Event
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.1%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
49.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1390
· median 1390
· range 1350–1431
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1171
Q3 1369
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.7% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 45.7% | -2.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
