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Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at DX Store Champion Main Event

decks
4 (13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16 4-11-1
overall winrate
28.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.4% avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
43.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268 · median 1272 · range 1141–1388 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068 Q1 1171 Q3 1369 1584
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 26.7% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 40.4% -5.5
Fire Aggro 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.1% +8.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.7% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 44.5% -4.1
Fire Suzaku 6.7% 0
Wind Allies 6.7% 0
Wind Crux Mage 6.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.3% -12.2
Wind Seiryuu 6.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.4% -20.2
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.0% -15.9
Fire Seiryuu 3.3% 0
Water Genbu 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.8% -11.5
Water Ravishing Mill 3.3% 0
Wind Byakko 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.7% -10.0
Wind Exia 3.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.7% +1.1
Wind Shadowstrike 3.3% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Astral Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Harvest Herbs -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Regenerate +1.00 1 0 0
Buried Grief -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier -1.00 0 1 0
Three Visits +1.00 1 0 0
Art of War -1.00 0 1 0
Horticounter +1.00 1 0 0
Lunar Seer +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/24697/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric