← Curio Cavern Loisdale HVN Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Curio Cavern Loisdale HVN Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 63.6% | 58.9% | 56.3% | 1479 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 52.0% | 50.5% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 64.4% | 52.0% | 53.1% | 1321 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.0% | 51.1% | 49.9% | 1390 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.8% | 48.0% | 46.4% | 1402 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.6% | 45.0% | 47.6% | 1293 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 38.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | 1298 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Kongming | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 35.4% | 40.0% | 44.1% | 1138 | ↓ low |