← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
1
(3.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
27.6%
avg ELO -12.9 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1489
· median 1489
· range 1489–1489
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1185
Q3 1366
1489
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Water Genbu | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -19.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
