← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
3
(11.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-7-0
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1196
· median 1153
· range 1151–1284
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1185
Q3 1366
1489
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Water Genbu | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 15.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.6% | -4.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.8% | -6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.9 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +19.9 |
| Fire Exia | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.6 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
