← Black Label TCG Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Black Label TCG Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Exia Jin | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 100.0% | 75.9% | 61.2% | 61.3% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 83.3% | 68.8% | 59.0% | 58.6% | 1492 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 10.5% | 12 | 66.7% | 65.5% | 55.8% | 56.8% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 46.6% | 55.6% | 50.7% | 1346 | — |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 10.5% | 10 | 60.0% | 56.5% | 54.2% | 54.1% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Neos | 1 | 5.3% | 2 | 50.0% | 43.7% | 53.3% | 50.0% | 1584 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 4 | 21.1% | 17 | 41.2% | 35.4% | 49.4% | 45.7% | 1327 | — |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 15.8% | 12 | 33.3% | 39.7% | 47.5% | 47.7% | 1281 | — |
| 9 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 10.5% | 7 | 28.6% | 43.6% | 47.1% | 49.0% | 1291 | — |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 3 | 15.8% | 8 | 12.5% | 37.5% | 40.9% | 45.8% | 1330 | — |