← GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships
decks
2
(4.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.6%
avg ELO -2.9 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1285
· median 1285
· range 1225–1346
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1210
Q3 1401
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Water Genbu | 16.3% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.9% | +1.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -4.7 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
