← GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships
decks
6
(14.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
30
15-10-5
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.7%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
51.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1275
· range 1163–1426
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1210
Q3 1401
1525
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.6% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +7.0 |
| Water Genbu | 16.3% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 49.6% | -0.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 42.7% | -4.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.4% | +6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 2.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.0% | +16.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Water Neos | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
