← GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships
Water DianaTier 2
at GA@AGC Abyssal Heaven Store Championships
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-2-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.6%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1228
· median 1228
· range 1228–1228
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1210
Q3 1401
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Genbu | 16.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +3.3 |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
