← Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/11/2024
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/11/2024
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.2% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.8 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oasis Trading Post | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |