← Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/11/2024
Water Umbra RangerTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/11/2024
decks
2
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.7%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
42.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1449
· median 1449
· range 1349–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1232
Q3 1407
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
