Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at CakeTCG Utrecht Regional
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.0%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
45.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1191
· median 1191
· range 1191–1191
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1132
Q1 1244
Q3 1366
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 23.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 17.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Water Genbu | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
