CakeTCG Utrecht Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	4	23.5%	6-8-2	43.8%	50.0%	48.1%	50.2%	1278	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	17.6%	6-5-2	53.8%	54.4%	51.4%	52.0%	1324	—
3		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	11.8%	5-5-0	50.0%	47.0%	50.6%	48.3%	1317	—
4		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	40.8%	44.0%	46.7%	1244	↓ low
5		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	5.9%	0-1-0	0.0%	44.7%	40.0%	44.7%	1191	↓ low
6		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	43.5%	44.3%	47.5%	1264	↓ low
7		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	5.9%	4-1-0	80.0%	49.6%	57.8%	50.4%	1464	↑ top
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-1-1	70.0%	58.8%	59.5%	55.9%	1281	—
9		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.3%	52.0%	49.1%	1418	↑ top
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-0-1	87.5%	55.8%	55.0%	50.6%	1520	↑ top
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	5.9%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.0%	45.5%	49.2%	1191	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 4 decks · 23.5%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 17.6%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 11.8%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 5.9%