Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at 東門艾客米101聯賽
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1294
· median 1294
· range 1173–1416
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1253
Q3 1421
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.9% | +2.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
