Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at 2025 World Championships
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
6-9-1
overall winrate
40.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.6%
avg ELO -5.8 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1469
· median 1469
· range 1296–1642
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1200
Q1 1464
Q3 1634
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 21.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.1% | -5.9 |
| Water Fractal | 15.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 35.6% | -10.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 15.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 82.0% | +23.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 9.7% | -23.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.4% | +24.7 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
