Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/10
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1273
· median 1273
· range 1119–1426
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1119
Q1 1207
Q3 1411
1624
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Arisanna | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Kongming | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Slimes | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Overlord | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
