← Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/10

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/10

decks
5 (11.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14 4-8-2
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
46.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1259 · median 1212 · range 1123–1453 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1119 Q1 1207 Q3 1411 1624
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 40% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Astra Cleric 9.5% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 48.4% -1.2
Fire Exia 7.1% 0
Fire Suzaku 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.7% +1.1
Water Fractal 7.1% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 49.5% -0.5
Fire Aggro 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.7% +1.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.7
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Genbu 4.8% 0
Wind Seiryuu 4.8% 0
Fire Arisanna 2.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.8% -0.3
Fire Crux Mage 2.4% 0
Fire Kongming 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.4
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.4% 0
Slimes 2.4% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.4% 0
Water Neos 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.8% -2.0
Water Ravishing Mill 2.4% 0
Water Tera Kongming 2.4% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 49.4% -0.6
Water Umbra Diana 2.4% 0
Wind Allies 2.4% 0
Wind Lorraine 2.4% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 2.4% 0
Wind Overlord 2.4% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.4% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Grim Foreboding -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Final Stroke -1.00 0 1 0
Combo Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Gearstride Gloves -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Parcenet, Royal Maid -1.00 0 1 0
Shadowstrike -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Mastermind Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Dagger -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Portentous Tanggu +1.00 1 0 0
Blackmarket Broker -1.00 0 1 0
Rebounding Gust -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang +1.00 1 0 0
Sable Remnant +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Extortion Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Shadow Resonance -1.00 0 1 0
Slice and Dice -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Penumbral Waltz +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/29025/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike