← The 1st Non-Meta deck Tournament (Hong Kong)
Wind Luxem TamerTier 2
at The 1st Non-Meta deck Tournament (Hong Kong)
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Byakko | 15.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Fire Byakko | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.1 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.5% | -3.4 |
| Water Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.7% | +0.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Wind Tera Diao Chan | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.5 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 48 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windspire Crest | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Felicitous Flock | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Feathery Tune | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clockwork Musicbox | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windstream Mutt | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Effigy of Gaia | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fabled Emerald Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Pluming Crescendo | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Modulating Cadence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peacock of Prosperity | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fabled Azurite Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lightweaver's Assault | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Illuminating Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Primal Whip | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Raze the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wingpeak Patriarch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Heaven | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |