← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #5
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #5.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 11.8% | 5 | 100.0% | 51.9% | 63.3% | 50.9% | 1410 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 100.0% | 51.8% | 60.0% | 50.9% | 1493 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.7% | 55.0% | 50.7% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Rile | 4 | 23.5% | 12 | 70.8% | 51.3% | 53.3% | 50.3% | 1341 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 2 | 11.8% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 48.2% | 49.8% | 1282 | — |
| 6 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | 49.8% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 46.7% | 50.0% | 1241 | — |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 11.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.4% | 46.0% | 49.3% | 1312 | — |
| 9 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.3% | 45.0% | 49.5% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.4% | 42.5% | 49.6% | 1199 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Ciel | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.0% | 42.5% | 49.4% | 1276 | — |
| 12 | Rile | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.9% | 40.0% | 49.3% | 1093 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Umbra Tristan | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.7% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Slimes | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 0.0% | 48.3% | 36.2% | 49.1% | 1302 | — |