← Regionals Cardpoint Slovenia
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Regionals Cardpoint Slovenia
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-5-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1298
· range 1262–1334
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1072
Q1 1188
Q3 1325
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 64.7% | +9.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.1 |
