← Regionals Cardpoint Slovenia
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Regionals Cardpoint Slovenia
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-6-0
overall winrate
14.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.8%
avg ELO -9.6 per match
expected value
33.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
35.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1180
· median 1180
· range 1180–1180
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1072
Q1 1188
Q3 1325
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.8% | -14.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
