← Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/21/2025
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/21/2025
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 30.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Thieving Cut.
No cards correlated with losing.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regal Inquisition | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Uncover the Plot | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Luxera's Map | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |