← Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/21/2025
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 8/21/2025
decks
3
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1161
· median 1159
· range 1144–1180
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1213
Q3 1400
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 30.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Water Astra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
