← Fyendal Hobby Store Championship
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at Fyendal Hobby Store Championship
decks
2
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
43.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1323
· median 1323
· range 1320–1326
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
949
Q1 1211
Q3 1413
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 19.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.4% | -5.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
