← Pikku Play Store championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Pikku Play Store championship
decks
4
(12.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-5-2
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.6%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1306
· range 1227–1351
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1236
Q3 1442
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 9.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.9% | +8.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.7% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.8% | -8.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
