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Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.7%
avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1378
· median 1378
· range 1192–1563
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1172
Q3 1389
1689
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 45.3% | -3.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.2 |
| Fire Diana | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
