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Fire Umbra DianaTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.5%
avg ELO -5.5 per match
expected value
41.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1119
· median 1119
· range 1119–1119
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1172
Q3 1389
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
