← The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
1-5-3
overall winrate
27.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.7%
avg ELO -5.2 per match
expected value
44.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1243
· median 1243
· range 1137–1350
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1137
Q1 1256
Q3 1407
1610
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 17.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 11.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -5.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.4 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.2% | -11.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.8 |
