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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship

decks
3 (17.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.8% avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
52.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1309 · median 1325 · range 1207–1396 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1137 Q1 1256 Q3 1407 1610
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 17.6% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 55.1% +3.2
Fire Aggro 11.8% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 54.9% +3.7
Fire Crux Lorraine 11.8% 0
Wind Arcane 11.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.0% +14.4
Fire Crux Mage 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.1% -6.2
Fire Suited 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.7% +10.8
Norm Tera Silvie 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.4
Water Umbra Guardian 5.9% 0
Wind Allies 5.9% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 2 0
Slice and Dice +1.00 2 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 2 0
Noble Dissolution -1.00 0 2 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 2 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 2 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 2 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 2 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 2 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 2 0 0
Penumbral Waltz +1.00 2 0 0
Reclaim +0.50 1 0 1
Veiling Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Tempest Downfall -0.50 0 1 1
Cry for Help +0.50 1 0 0
Blinding Orb -0.50 0 1 1
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver -0.50 0 1 1
Innervate Agility -0.50 0 1 1
Blackmarket Broker -0.50 0 1 1
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.50 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +0.50 1 0 0
Zephyr +0.50 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/32005/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike