← The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship
Water Umbra GuardianTier 1
at The Card Shop PLT DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1468
· median 1468
· range 1468–1468
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1137
Q1 1256
Q3 1407
1610
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 17.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -3.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
